Italian Open Predictions 2026

The Italian Open is a ATP Tour event played on clay courts. Uppset is currently tracking 11 predictions for this tournament across May 4, 2026–May 16, 2026, spanning the first round, third round, quarter-final, semi-final, final and fourth. Each prediction below is generated by our statistical model and links to a full match breakdown with head-to-head context, form and a projected scoreline.

The strongest names in the Italian Open field right now are Jannik Sinner (No. 1), Alexander Zverev (No. 3), Lorenzo Musetti (No. 9), Daniil Medvedev (No. 10), Andrey Rublev (No. 12) and Jiri Lehecka (No. 14). Clay rewards patience, heavy topspin and movement: rallies run long, serves lose some of their bite, and the better mover often grinds down the bigger hitter.

The standout matchup is Sinner vs Medvedev in the semi-final, where our model leans toward Sinner for a 2-0 scoreline.

Across these 11 matches, the model backs the higher-ranked player in 6 and calls a potential upset in 5. The boldest call is Tirante (No. 75) over a No. 10 opponent.