US Open Predictions 2026

The US Open is a ATP Tour event played on hard courts. Uppset is currently tracking 16 predictions for this tournament across August 24, 2026–October 10, 2026, spanning the qualifying final, qualifying round 2, qualifying round 1, first round, third round, quarter-final, semi-final and final. Each prediction below is generated by our statistical model and links to a full match breakdown with head-to-head context, form and a projected scoreline.

The strongest names in the US Open field right now are Alexander Zverev (No. 2), Carlos Alcaraz (No. 3), Novak Djokovic (No. 5), Daniil Medvedev (No. 8), Ben Shelton (No. 9) and Frances Tiafoe (No. 12). On hard courts the bounce is true and predictable, so consistency, return depth and serve placement usually decide tight matches.

The standout matchup is Zverev vs Shelton in the final, where our model leans toward Zverev for a 3-1 scoreline.

Across these 16 matches, the model backs the higher-ranked player in 15 and calls a potential upset in 1. The boldest call is Sakellaridis (No. 136) over a No. 105 opponent.